SituationLiving fileUS-China strategic competition over Taiwangeopolitics

Taiwan unveils rare-earth plant plan to cut China reliance as Strait stays quiet

As of 25 Oct · daily

Tracked since 28 SeptReports 15 steadyCoverage steady: headlines about this situation per day steady since 23 Oct (was ▲ rising)
1 Oct: easing, gradual pace2 Oct: steady, flat pace10 Oct: steady, flat pace11 Oct: steady, flat pace12 Oct: steady, flat pace13 Oct: steady, flat pace14 Oct: steady, flat pace15 Oct: steady, flat pace16 Oct: steady, flat pace17 Oct: steady, flat pace18 Oct: steady, flat pace20 Oct: rising, gradual pace23 Oct: steady, flat pace24 Oct: steady, flat pace25 Oct: steady, flat pace
1 Oct15 reports25 Oct
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Hottest Pulse: Global Economy · Energy Price and Market Shock, 72 of 100 (severe)

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15 days from the Daily, newest first. The latest 3 are open here with their pictures and numbers; earlier days open in their Daily.

Added 18:12 UTC · AmericasSun, 25 Oct 2026 · day's report → , flat pace

Taiwan unveils rare-earth plant plan to cut China reliance as Strait stays quiet

China claims Taiwan, which governs itself separately, while the United States is Taiwan's main security backer. Beijing tries to isolate Taipei and deter moves toward formal independence; Taipei and Washington try to deter Beijing from taking Taiwan by force across the Taiwan Strait, a narrow waterway whose control would affect trade and security across East Asia.

Numbers match the timeline. Solid mark: researched; hollow: reported. Dashed purple areas: disputed or occupied territory; select one for its status and source. Infrastructure, lettered by type (P power plant); colour is the latest status on record: claimed struck (a party's claim only), damage reported, damage confirmed or destroyed, restored, nothing on record. A claim is a party's word, not a confirmation; marks fade as a status ages. Power plants: WRI Global Power Plant Database (CC BY 4.0).
Base map: Natural Earth (public domain). Locations: Ohmega, from today's developments; approximate. Disputed areas: Natural Earth (public domain). Interactive basemap: OpenFreeMap, © OpenMapTiles, data © OpenStreetMap contributors.
  1. 25 Oct1
  2. 24 Oct
  3. 3
Assessment and what changed · the full read, since yesterday

Taiwan's rare-earth decoupling push is the only new move since Oct. 24, with a 500-ton demonstration plant planned by 2028 and TSMC exploring rare-earth-free motors to blunt China's 2025 export controls. The Strait stayed instrument-quiet on Oct. 24 and no new financial or coast-guard actions were reported, leaving the Oct. 24 battlefield-preparation warning and Oct. 19-20 market defenses as the standing picture. We are confident on the plant and TSMC plans and Strait quiet (researched and instruments as of Oct. 24).

  • New: Rare-earth decoupling ITRI 500-ton plant plan (meet half domestic needs by 2030, build by end-2028) and TSMC rare-earth-free motor survey reported Oct.…

3 unchanged: Coast Guard battlefield-preparation warning of Oct. 24 stands with no new CGA report since · Financial defenses: central bank forex pledge and state funds posture from Oct. 19-20 unchanged, no new intervention reported · Strait instruments: 0 aircraft and 0 navy ships on Oct. 24, same quiet as Oct. 23

Numbers and actors · statistics, flows and rates

Who they are · size

People

Balance sheet · debt, budget, current account, reserves

: latest year on record for each figure (IMF figures for this year are estimates), bars on one scale per column, line = the last ten years. Tap an actor for every year, rank, energy, ranked trade and sources. All actors →

Outlook, watch list and background

Outlook Decoupling efforts are likely to stay in planning and early supplier surveys through 2026, with no near-term change to rare-earth dependence. Strait activity is likely to remain episodic gray-zone presence rather than sustained blockade rehearsal in the next 7-14 days, but a new CGA report of militia-coast guard coordination east of Taiwan would signal rising pressure. Market volatility is likely to track US tech and Fed expectations around the Oct. 27-28 meeting more than cross-Strait moves.

Watch for
  • Daily Coast Guard Administration reports around Pratas/Dongsha and east coast, and any PLA Navy or Liaoning carrier movement east of Taiwan in next 7-14 days
  • Central bank forex operations, National Financial Stabilization Fund activity, and daily foreign flow and TAIEX data for rebound or renewed outflow
  • ITRI plant funding decision by National Science and Technology Council and TSMC supplier feedback on rare-earth-free motors
Background
  • 2025China put some rare-earth materials, magnets and related processing technology under export controls in 2025 requiring licences, creating vulnerability for semiconductor equipment supply chains where magnets are used in motors. Explains why Taiwan's new 500-ton plant and TSMC's rare-earth-free motor survey matter for chip-production resilience.
  • 19 Oct 2026Taiwan's central bank on Oct. 19 pledged to intervene to maintain dynamic stability if NT dollar volatility continued after sharp decline Oct. 12-16, and foreign investors recorded record outflows that week. Financial defense posture that remains in place today with no new intervention reported since.
  • 24 Oct 2026Taiwan Coast Guard Administration on Oct. 24 warned Chinese militia and coast guard ships are expanding coordinated battlefield preparation off Taiwan's east coast and into the western Pacific. The warning that still defines the military pressure picture while instruments show no new activity. taipeitimes.com ↗

Added 17:53 UTC · AmericasSat, 24 Oct 2026 · day's report → , flat pace

Taiwan coast guard warns of Chinese militia battlefield preparation as Strait stays quiet and tech decoupling deepens

Numbers match the timeline. Solid mark: researched; hollow: reported. Dashed purple areas: disputed or occupied territory; select one for its status and source. Infrastructure, lettered by type (P power plant); colour is the latest status on record: claimed struck (a party's claim only), damage reported, damage confirmed or destroyed, restored, nothing on record. A claim is a party's word, not a confirmation; marks fade as a status ages. Power plants: WRI Global Power Plant Database (CC BY 4.0).
Base map: Natural Earth (public domain). Locations: Ohmega, from today's developments; approximate. Disputed areas: Natural Earth (public domain). Not on this map (too far away): 2 Beijing. Interactive basemap: OpenFreeMap, © OpenMapTiles, data © OpenStreetMap contributors.
  1. 24 Oct1
  2. 19 Oct
  3. 3
Assessment and what changed · the full read, since yesterday

Taiwan's Coast Guard on Oct. 24 warned Chinese militia and coast guard ships are expanding battlefield preparation off Taiwan's east coast, the only new move since Oct. 23. Financial defenses activated Oct. 19-20 and the Strait stayed instrument-quiet at 0 aircraft and 0 navy ships on Oct. 23, while US federal DeepSeek bans and DeepSeek-Huawei chip co-design deepened tech decoupling. We are confident on the CGA warning (statements on record), market and ban facts (researched), and quiet Strait (instruments as of Oct. 23).

  • New: Coast Guard Administration Oct. 24 gray-zone warning, militia watchlist for Minfudingyu 07902…

3 unchanged: Financial defenses: no new central bank FX operations or Stabilization Fund moves reported since Oct. 23; market readings as of Oct. 19-20 stand · Strait military picture: instruments still quiet at 0 aircraft and 0 navy ships on Oct. 23, no new readings outside range · Typhoon Champi: no new damage assessment beyond Oct. 22-23 shutdowns; watch remains on Wanli Creek dam and cable/ferry restoration

More developments (1)
  1. 23 Oct4
Strike & status log (2) · named places, who says what, this week

Named places and things the reports say something dated about. Each line gives who says it: “claimed struck” is a party's own word, and only a second source turns it into reported or confirmed damage.

Numbers and actors · statistics, flows and rates

Who they are · size

People

Balance sheet · debt, budget, current account, reserves

: latest year on record for each figure (IMF figures for this year are estimates), bars on one scale per column, line = the last ten years. Tap an actor for every year, rank, energy, ranked trade and sources. All actors →

Outlook, watch list and background

Outlook Gray-zone pressure off Taiwan's east coast is likely to persist as CGA maintains watchlist monitoring, but overt military escalation in the Strait remains unlikely in the next 7-14 days while instruments stay quiet and typhoon recovery continues. Market stabilization is likely if foreign outflows ease and central bank signaling holds, though tech-sentiment swings remain the key driver. Tech decoupling will almost certainly deepen as the US DeepSeek exclusion takes effect and DeepSeek-Huawei co-design advances toward end-2026 training on Ascend 950DT.

Watch for
  • Daily Coast Guard Administration reports around Pratas/Dongsha and east coast, and any PLA Navy or Liaoning carrier movement east of Taiwan in next 7-14 days
  • Central bank foreign-exchange operations, National Financial Stabilization Fund activity, and daily foreign flow and TAIEX data for rebound or renewed outflow
  • DeepSeek-Huawei milestones: start of training on Ascend 950DT by end-2026 and Ascend 960DT allocation in Q1 2027, plus US agency implementation of DeepSeek removal orders
Background
  • 17 Oct 2026Two China Coast Guard vessels 3301 and 3303 entered restricted waters around Taiwan-controlled Pratas Islands (Dongsha) at 15:34 on Oct. 17, prompting Taiwan Coast Guard vessels Cijin and PP-10032 to order them to leave; Taiwan described Oct. 18 operations as hybrid warfare. Baseline for current CGA warnings about expanded gray-zone and militia activity around Pratas and east coast taipeitimes.com ↗
  • 22 Oct 2026Beijing warned Manila on Oct. 22 there is no gray zone on the Taiwan question and Philippines-Taiwan cooperation on undersea cables would violate the one-China principle. Shows Beijing framing of gray-zone and cable cooperation as sovereignty issue, context for Oct. 24 CGA warning about east-coast supply routes mfa.gov.cn ↗
  • 16 Oct 2026Taoyuan prosecutors detained two executives of drone supplier Jiin Ming Industry Co for alleged use of prohibited China-made chips and lenses in military drones, highlighting supply-chain security enforcement. Earlier example of technology decoupling enforcement inside Taiwan's defense procurement, parallel to current DeepSeek-Huawei vs US ban front taipeitimes.com ↗

Fri, 23 Oct 2026 · day's report → , flat pace

Typhoon shutdown and record foreign selloff force Taiwan market defenses as Strait stays quiet

Numbers match the timeline. Solid mark: researched; hollow: reported. Dashed purple areas: disputed or occupied territory; select one for its status and source. Infrastructure, lettered by type (P power plant); colour is the latest status on record: claimed struck (a party's claim only), damage reported, damage confirmed or destroyed, restored, nothing on record. A claim is a party's word, not a confirmation; marks fade as a status ages. Power plants: WRI Global Power Plant Database (CC BY 4.0).
Base map: Natural Earth (public domain). Locations: Ohmega, from today's developments; approximate. Disputed areas: Natural Earth (public domain). Not on this map (too far away): 3 Tegucigalpa. Interactive basemap: OpenFreeMap, © OpenMapTiles, data © OpenStreetMap contributors.
  1. 23 Oct1
  2. 20 Oct2
Assessment and what changed · the full read, since yesterday

Taiwan activated financial defenses Oct. 19-20 as record foreign selling drove the NT dollar to its weakest since April and the TAIEX to a sharp weekly loss, while Super Typhoon Champi shut schools, work and transport nationwide Oct. 22-23. The Strait stayed militarily quiet on instruments — 0 aircraft and 0 navy ships present Oct. 22 — even as Honduras squeezed Chinese businesses while sitting on a pledge to restore ties with Taipei. We are confident on market and typhoon facts (researched) and on the quiet Strait (instrument readings).

  • New: Super Typhoon Champi forced nationwide school/work cancellations and major transport halts Oct. 22-23…
  • Escalated: Market-defense pressure detailed record NT$302.56 billion daily foreign selling Oct. 15 and state-fund buying Oct. 19-20, beyond Oct. 20 warning of intervention
  • Eased: Strait militarily quiet Oct. 22 (0 aircraft, 0 navy ships on instruments) after Oct. 17-18 expulsion of 16 Chinese vessels…
  • New: Honduras enforcement against Chinese shops and workers Oct. 19-20 while president sits on Taiwan restoration pledge…
More developments (1)
  1. 22 Oct4
Strike & status log (1) · named places, who says what, this week

Named places and things the reports say something dated about. Each line gives who says it: “claimed struck” is a party's own word, and only a second source turns it into reported or confirmed damage.

Numbers and actors · statistics, flows and rates

Who they are · size

People

Balance sheet · debt, budget, current account, reserves

: latest year on record for each figure (IMF figures for this year are estimates), bars on one scale per column, line = the last ten years. Tap an actor for every year, rank, energy, ranked trade and sources. All actors →

Outlook, watch list and background

Outlook Typhoon disruption likely eases within 24-48 hours as Champi passes, but market volatility likely persists into the US Federal Reserve meeting Oct. 27-28, with further central bank smoothing and state-fund support likely if outflows continue. PLA pressure around Pratas and the Strait is likely to stay at coast-guard grey-zone level in the near term, with a roughly even chance of renewed incursions once weather clears. Honduras is unlikely to restore Taiwan ties imminently despite enforcement against Chinese firms.

Watch for
  • Daily CGA reports around Pratas/Dongsha and any PLA Navy or Liaoning carrier movement east of Taiwan in next 7-14 days once typhoon clears
  • Central bank FX operations and National Financial Stabilization Fund activity plus daily foreign flow/TAIEX data
  • Champi damage assessment, especially Wanli Creek landslide dam in Hualien and cable/ferry restoration
  • Honduras government statement on Taiwan ties or further actions against Chinese firms
Background
  • 15 Oct 2026Taiwan detailed Oct. 14-15 a non-binding plan for CPC Corp to buy 6 million tonnes per year of Alaska LNG and consider up to $4.4 billion investment, not operational before 2030-2031; no binding sale-and-purchase agreement confirmed. Frames energy-security push to diversify gas and add Pacific shipping route to mitigate blockade risk; still non-binding so not yet a hedge. taipeitimes.com ↗
  • 18 Oct 2026Taiwan Coast Guard expelled 16 Chinese vessels in simultaneous operations Oct. 17-18, including two China Coast Guard ships 3301 and 3303 inside Pratas (Dongsha) restricted waters at 15:34 Oct. 17. Largest multi-site grey-zone push in 2026; sets baseline for judging whether current quiet Strait is pause or shift. taipeitimes.com ↗
  • 12 Oct 2026China sanctioned Paraguay and Belize ministers Oct. 12 over Taiwan ties, freezing assets and banning entry/transactions. Shows Beijing's tool to punish Taiwan's remaining 12 diplomatic allies; context for Honduras pressure on Chinese firms. scmp.com ↗

UpdateAdded 17:51 UTC · AmericasFri, 23 Oct 2026 · day's report → , flat pace

Beijing warned Manila there is no gray zone on Taiwan as Strait stayed quiet

Numbers match the timeline. Solid mark: researched; hollow: reported. Infrastructure, lettered by type (P power plant); colour is the latest status on record: claimed struck (a party's claim only), damage reported, damage confirmed or destroyed, restored, nothing on record. A claim is a party's word, not a confirmation; marks fade as a status ages. Power plants: WRI Global Power Plant Database (CC BY 4.0).
Base map: Natural Earth (public domain). Locations: Ohmega, from today's developments; approximate. Interactive basemap: OpenFreeMap, © OpenMapTiles, data © OpenStreetMap contributors.
  1. 22 Oct1
Assessment and what changed · the full read, since yesterday

Since the 06:44 UTC section, nothing material moved in the Strait, markets or typhoon beyond the Oct. 22 quiet readings already reported. The only new move was Beijing's Oct. 22 warning that Philippines-Taiwan cooperation on undersea cables and gray-zone activities would violate the one-China principle. We are confident on the warning (transcript) and on continued quiet (instruments as of Oct. 22).

  • New: Beijing's Oct. 22 'no gray zone' warning to Philippines on Taiwan (S13) — not in morning section

2 unchanged: Strait militarily quiet held: 0 aircraft and 0 navy ships present Oct. 22 on instruments; no new readings outside range · No new central-bank FX, stock-flow or typhoon-damage moves reported since morning section; last market defense Oct. 19-20 and Champi shutdown Oct. 22-23 stand

Numbers and actors · statistics, flows and rates

Who they are · size

People

Balance sheet · debt, budget, current account, reserves

: latest year on record for each figure (IMF figures for this year are estimates), bars on one scale per column, line = the last ten years. Tap an actor for every year, rank, energy, ranked trade and sources. All actors →

Outlook, watch list and background

Outlook Strait military activity is likely to stay muted until Typhoon Champi clears in the next 1-2 days, after which a resumption of coast-guard pressure around Pratas/Dongsha is likely. Beijing's no-gray-zone framing makes any Philippines-Taiwan cable or security coordination more likely to draw a diplomatic protest, but a near-term military escalation is unlikely while weather limits operations.

Watch for
  • Daily CGA reports around Pratas/Dongsha and any PLA Navy/Liaoning movement east of Taiwan in next 7-14 days once typhoon clears
  • Central bank FX operations and National Financial Stabilization Fund activity plus daily foreign flow/TAIEX data
  • Honduras government statement on Taiwan ties or further actions against Chinese firms
Background
  • 17 Oct 2026Two China Coast Guard vessels 3301 and 3303 entered restricted waters around Taiwan-controlled Pratas (Dongsha) Oct. 17, prompting Taiwan Coast Guard vessels to order them out; Taiwan's CGA said it had conducted 11 expulsion operations this year involving 14 encounters. Shows the 'gray-zone' law-enforcement pressure around Pratas that Beijing's Oct. 22 'no gray zone' warning seeks to legitimize as jurisdiction. taipeitimes.com ↗

Earlier days (12)

Numbers match the timeline. Solid mark: researched; hollow: reported. Dashed purple areas: disputed or occupied territory; select one for its status and source.
Base map: Natural Earth (public domain). Locations: Ohmega, from today's developments; approximate. Disputed areas: Natural Earth (public domain). Not on this map (too far away): 3 Beijing, 7 Tegucigalpa, 9 Brussels, 10 Bangkok, 13 Singapore. Interactive basemap: OpenFreeMap, © OpenMapTiles, data © OpenStreetMap contributors.

· Most reported: Taipei ×14, Beijing ×5, Taiwan Strait ×4

Background in 60 seconds

written 25 Oct

The United States and China compete for influence over Taiwan, with Taiwan seeking to preserve its autonomy and economic stability. The rivalry runs through the Taiwan Strait, the narrow waterway separating the island from the mainland, where military incursions probe limits; through markets, where selloffs can pressure Taiwan's currency and stocks; and through technology, where control of chipmaking tools and rare-earth supply chains carries strategic weight. Incursions are flights or sails near or across sensitive lines in the strait. Market defense is action by a central bank or state-backed funds to steady the currency and share prices. Tech decoupling is the unwinding of shared supply chains so each side relies less on the other for critical inputs.

Who is doing what to whom

15 actors in play; no relations recorded yet.

  • Taiwan 8 mentions
  • China 6 mentions
  • United States 5 mentions
  • Mao Ning 4 mentions
  • People's Liberation Army 4 mentions

Taiwan, China, United States, Belize and Paraguay, by the numbers

Taiwan TaiwanChina ChinaUnited States United StatesBelize BelizeParaguay ParaguayAll actors →

Population

China1.4B

United States342M

Belize423k

Paraguay7M

GDP

China$19.5T

United States$30.8T

Belize$3.3B

Paraguay$49.3B

GDP per person

China$13.9k

United States$90k

Belize$7.9k

Paraguay$7k

Fossil fuel output

Taiwan3.1 TWh

China31.2k TWh

United States23.3k TWh

Belize1.2 TWh

Paraguay0.0 TWh

Military spending

China$314B

United States$997B

Belize$30.1M

Paraguay$414M

Every bar in a row is on that row's one scale. Latest year available for each figure; sources on each actor's page.

9 states involved

Open one to see everything else it is part of.

Taiwan TaiwanChina ChinaUnited States United StatesBelize BelizeParaguay ParaguayBelgium BelgiumHonduras HondurasSingapore SingaporeThailand Thailand

Attacks reported

attack log →

≥ 5,254 events in or near its main states, last 30 days reported by the sources; the strongest are listed. No source sees every attack.

  • 2026-10-30 · Armed clash · Pattaya, Chon Buri, Thailand · GDELT ↗ · machine-coded
  • 2026-10-30 · Armed clash · Los Angeles, California, United States · GDELT ↗ · machine-coded
  • 2026-10-29 · Armed clash · Taipei, T'ai-pei, Taiwan · GDELT ↗ · machine-coded
  • 2026-10-30 · Assault or killing · Washington, District of Columbia, United States · GDELT ↗ · machine-coded

GPS interference

all zones →

≥ 1 zones over its main states on 2026-10-30: aircraft there reported poor navigation accuracy, a sign of jamming or spoofing, not proof of who is responsible.

  • Low · 5% of 79 aircraft observations degraded · 50.5, 3.5

On the record (59)

59 statements, newest first

  • TaiwanCoast Guard Administration · Coast Guard Administration, Taiwan · 24 Oct

    “assisting 'battlefield preparation,'”

    Accusation · hostile toward China, Taiwan, Japan as reported by Taipei Times ↗

  • TaiwanCoast Guard Administration · Coast Guard Administration, Taiwan · 24 Oct

    paraphrase The vessels' coordinated activity is part of a broader pattern of Chinese gray zone operations using law-enforcement, scientific and civilian cover to expand Beijing's influence at sea while remaining below the threshold of open conflict

    Accusation · hostile toward China as reported by Taipei Times ↗

  • TaiwanCoast Guard Administration · Coast Guard Administration, Taiwan · 24 Oct

    paraphrase Continued Chinese activity on Taiwan's east coast, an important maritime traffic and supply route, could further increase security pressure on Taiwan

    Warning · critical toward China, Taiwan as reported by Taipei Times ↗

  • TaiwanCoast Guard Administration · Coast Guard Administration, Taiwan · 24 Oct

    “Such complex gray-zone operations not only increase the maritime surveillance and response burden on Taiwan, Japan and the Philippines, but may also create regional security pressure and affect the existing international maritime order,”

    Warning · critical toward China, Taiwan, Japan as reported by Taipei Times ↗

  • TaiwanCoast Guard Administration · Coast Guard Administration, Taiwan · 24 Oct

    paraphrase China has increased such coordinated activity since June in overlapping economic waters involving Taiwan, Japan and the Philippines, after Tokyo and Manila announced talks on maritime boundary delimitation in their EEZs

    Accusation · critical toward China, Taiwan, Japan as reported by Taipei Times ↗

  • TaiwanCoast Guard Administration · Coast Guard Administration, Taiwan · 24 Oct

    “characteristics”

    Policy · critical toward China as reported by Taipei Times ↗

  • TaiwanTaiwanese officials · officials, Taiwan · 24 Oct

    paraphrase Taiwanese officials believe China is practicing for a possible maritime blockade using overlapping military, paramilitary and civilian assets

    Accusation · hostile toward China, Taiwan as reported by Taipei Times ↗

  • ChinaChina · government, China · 24 Oct

    “legitimate and lawful,”

    Denial · critical toward Taiwan as reported by Taipei Times ↗

  • TaiwanMinistry of National Defense · Ministry of National Defense, Taiwan · 19 Oct

    paraphrase A Chinese PLA Navy aircraft carrier group led by the Liaoning that sailed to the western Pacific for training is being monitored after entering the western Pacific.

    Policy · critical toward China, PLA Navy as reported by Taipei Times ↗

  • ChinaBeijing · Government, China · 19 Oct

    paraphrase Beijing criticized Taiwan for using a water cannon against a Chinese fishing boat near the Pratas Islands (Dongsha Islands).

    Accusation · critical toward Taiwan as reported by Taipei Times ↗

  • TaiwanTaoyuan District Prosecutors' Office · Taoyuan District Prosecutors' Office, Taiwan · 18 Oct

    paraphrase Two executives of drone supplier Jiin Ming Industry Co have been detained and held incommunicado over the company's alleged use of prohibited China-made chips and camera lenses in drones supplied under recent military contracts; prosecutors raided the offices of Jiin Ming, its subsidiaries and its suppliers following a report that the company breached procurement contracts by putting the prohibited components into drones delivered to the military

    Accusation · critical toward China, Taiwan as reported by Taipei Times ↗

  • Ministry of National Defense · Ministry of National Defense, Taiwan (Ministry of National Defense) · 18 Oct

    paraphrase A Chinese PLA Navy aircraft carrier group that entered the western Pacific was being monitored, following Beijing's criticism of Taiwan's use of a water cannon against a Chinese fishing boat near the Pratas Islands.

    Policy · critical toward China, Taiwan as reported by Taipei Times ↗

  • TaiwanMinistry of National Defense · Ministry of National Defense, Taiwan · 18 Oct

    paraphrase Taiwan could become the largest operator of V-BAT drones outside the United States once deliveries are completed; the navy and coast guard are acquiring a combined 292 MQ-35A V-BAT vertical takeoff and landing surveillance drones manufactured by US-based Shield AI

    Policy · conciliatory toward United States, Taiwan as reported by Taipei Times ↗

  • TaiwanMinistry of National Defense · Ministry of National Defense, Taiwan · 18 Oct

    paraphrase The navy plans to spend NT$36 billion under a four-year program code-named Project Yuan Xiao to acquire 280 V-BAT drones, as shown in the Ministry of National Defense fiscal 2027 report

    Policy · conciliatory toward United States, Taiwan as reported by Taipei Times ↗

  • TaiwanMinistry of National Defense · Ministry of National Defense, Taiwan · 18 Oct

    paraphrase Taiwan could become the largest operator of V-BAT drones outside the US once they are delivered; the navy and coast guard are acquiring a combined 292 MQ-35A V-BAT vertical takeoff and landing surveillance drones made by US-based Shield AI, with the navy planning to spend NT$36 billion under a four-year program code-named Project Yuan Xiao to acquire 280 units and the Coast Guard Administration having budgeted NT$1.2 billion for 12 units

    Policy · constructive toward United States, Taiwan as reported by Taipei Times ↗

  • TaiwanTaoyuan District Prosecutors' Office · Taoyuan District Prosecutors' Office, Taiwan · 17 Oct

    paraphrase The company Jiin Ming Industry Co allegedly breached procurement contracts by using prohibited China-made chips and camera lenses in drones delivered to the military, prompting raids on its offices, subsidiaries and suppliers and detention of two executives.

    Accusation · critical toward China, Taiwan as reported by Taipei Times ↗

  • TaiwanMinistry of National Defense · Ministry of National Defense, Taiwan · 17 Oct

    paraphrase A Chinese PLA Navy aircraft carrier group that entered the western Pacific was being monitored

    Remark · about China as reported by Taipei Times ↗

  • PLA Navy · PLA Navy, People's Liberation Army · 16 Oct

    “not directed at any country or target,”

    Reassurance · constructive toward Taiwan, regional countries as reported by Taipei Times ↗

  • Taoyuan District Prosecutors' Office · Prosecutors' Office, Taoyuan District Prosecutors' Office · 16 Oct

    “prohibited China-made chips and camera lenses”

    Accusation · critical toward China, Taiwan as reported by Taipei Times ↗

  • PLA Navy · PLA Navy, People's Liberation Army · 16 Oct

    “part of an annual routine training plan aimed at testing and improving troops’ combat readiness and enhancing their ability to fulfill missions.”

    Denial · about Taiwan, regional countries as reported by Taipei Times ↗

  • ChinaPLA Navy · PLA Navy, China · 16 Oct

    “The drill is part of the annual routine training plan aimed at testing and improving the troops’ combat readiness and enhancing their ability to”

    Reassurance · about Taiwan, western Pacific as reported by Taipei Times ↗

  • ChinaBeijing · Government, China · 16 Oct

    paraphrase Beijing criticized Taiwan for using a water cannon against a Chinese fishing boat near the Pratas Islands (Dongsha Islands)

    Accusation · critical toward Taiwan as reported by Taipei Times ↗

  • TaiwanCoast Guard Administration Dongsha-Nansha Branch · Dongsha-Nansha Branch, Taiwan · 16 Oct

    “Beijing's use of purported law enforcement activities to expand its authority and create the appearance of jurisdiction over the area”

    Accusation · hostile toward China as reported by Taipei Times ↗

  • TaiwanCoast Guard Administration Dongsha-Nansha Branch · Dongsha-Nansha Branch, Taiwan · 16 Oct

    “Taiwan has sovereignty over Dongsha and its surrounding waters”

    Commitment · critical toward China as reported by Taipei Times ↗

  • TaiwanCoast Guard Administration Dongsha-Nansha Branch · Dongsha-Nansha Branch, Taiwan · 16 Oct

    paraphrase The CGA's Dongsha-Nansha Branch said the CGA had conducted 11 operations this year to expel Chinese coast guard ships from waters around Dongsha, involving 14 vessel encounters, and that on Friday it deployed vessels to monitor the two Chinese ships and ordered them to leave.

    Policy · critical toward China as reported by Taipei Times ↗

  • United StatesDonald Trump · President, United States · 15 Oct

    paraphrase South Korea had agreed to invest in the US$54 billion Alaska LNG project.

    Commitment · constructive toward Taiwan, United States as reported by Taipei Times ↗

  • Pan Chun-kuang · Deputy Chief of the General Staff for Intelligence, Taiwan (Republic of China) Armed Forces · 15 Oct

    paraphrase China has been using propaganda about its military activities to step up its cognitive warfare efforts.

    Accusation · critical toward China, PLA as reported by Taipei Times ↗

  • Pan Chun-kuang · Deputy Chief of the General Staff for Intelligence, Taiwan (Republic of China) Armed Forces · 15 Oct

    “We see this as behavior that disrupts regional stability,”

    Accusation · critical toward China, PLA as reported by Taipei Times ↗

  • Pan Chun-kuang · Deputy Chief of the General Staff for Intelligence, Taiwan (Republic of China) Armed Forces · 15 Oct

    paraphrase Asked about the Liaoning aircraft carrier-led fleet's 'routine drills' in the western Pacific that began Wednesday, Pan said the activities had drawn concern from countries in the region and put them on alert, and that the ministry will monitor the situation closely and take precautions.

    Remark · critical toward China, PLA as reported by Taipei Times ↗

  • European UnionEuropean Parliament · European Parliament, European Union · 15 Oct

    paraphrase The European Parliament adopted a recommendation on EU-China political relations that rejects China's attempts to coerce international organizations and third countries into restricting Taiwan's international participation and exchanges, describing Taiwan as a valuable partner in trade and technology and supporting closer EU-Taiwan ties.

    Policy · constructive toward European Union, China, Taiwan as reported by Taipei Times ↗

  • ChinaMao Ning · Foreign Ministry Spokesperson, China · 14 Oct

    “The DPP authorities will not succeed in seeking “Taiwan independence” in the name of trade and investment.”

    Warning · hostile toward Taiwan, United States transcript ↗

  • ChinaMao Ning · Foreign Ministry Spokesperson, China · 14 Oct

    “External exchanges of China’s Taiwan region must be handled in line with the one-China principle.”

    Warning · critical toward Taiwan, United States transcript ↗

  • TaiwanMinistry of Economic Affairs · Ministry of Economic Affairs, Taiwan · 14 Oct

    paraphrase Partnership with the US developer is expected to diversify Taiwan's LNG supplies, give more flexibility in supply and distribution, improve energy security and deepen ties with the US, with direct Pacific shipping offering an alternative route that could help mitigate geopolitical risks.

    Reassurance · conciliatory toward Taiwan, United States as reported by Taipei Times ↗

  • TaiwanMinistry of Economic Affairs · Ministry of Economic Affairs, Taiwan · 14 Oct

    paraphrase CPC Corp, Taiwan would purchase 6 million tonnes of Alaska LNG per year once production begins, in line with a letter of intent signed in March last year, and would participate in development of the 1,299km pipeline project with an investment of up to US$4.4 billion.

    Commitment · constructive toward Taiwan, United States as reported by Taipei Times ↗

  • TaiwanMinistry of Economic Affairs · Ministry of Economic Affairs, Taiwan · 14 Oct

    “Specific investment arrangements, equity stakes and related terms will be determined through subsequent negotiations and commercial contract procedures,”

    Remark · about Taiwan, United States as reported by Taipei Times ↗

  • Chiu Chui-cheng · Minister, Mainland Affairs Council, Taiwan (Mainland Affairs Council) · 14 Oct

    “opaque”

    Accusation · critical toward China as reported by Taipei Times ↗

  • TaiwanTaoyuan District Prosecutors' Office · Taoyuan District Prosecutors' Office, Taiwan · 13 Oct

    paraphrase Jiin Ming Industry Co allegedly breached military procurement contracts by using prohibited China-made chips and camera lenses in drones supplied to the military, prompting raids on the company's headquarters, subsidiaries and suppliers and detention of two executives incommunicado

    Accusation · critical toward China as reported by Taipei Times ↗

  • ChinaMao Ning · Foreign Ministry Spokesperson, China · 13 Oct

    “The U.S. needs to abide by the one-China principle and the three China-U.S. joint communiqués, handle the Taiwan question prudently, and stop sending wrong signals to “Taiwan independence” separatist forces.”

    Demand · critical toward United States, Taiwan transcript ↗

  • ChinaMao Ning · Foreign Ministry Spokesperson, China · 13 Oct

    “The one-China principle is a basic norm in international relations and prevailing international consensus. It is also the political foundation of China-U.S. relations.”

    Accusation · critical toward United States, Taiwan transcript ↗

  • United StatesDonald Trump · President, United States · 13 Oct

    “Taiwan has just agreed to buy 30 percent of the gas coming off the pipeline for the next 20 years,”

    Commitment · conciliatory toward Taiwan, United States as reported by Taipei Times ↗

  • ChinaMao Ning · Foreign Ministry Spokesperson, China · 12 Oct

    “For diehard supporters of “Taiwan independence” separatist forces, China will take all necessary punitive measures to firmly safeguard national sovereignty and territorial integrity.”

    Threat · hostile toward Taiwan, Paraguay, Belize transcript ↗

  • ChinaMao Ning · Foreign Ministry Spokesperson, China · 12 Oct

    “In response to these moves and in accordance with the Anti-Foreign Sanctions Law of the People’s Republic of China, China announced in the form of MFA decree countermeasures as an action of warning and deterrence.”

    Policy · hostile toward Paraguay, Belize transcript ↗

  • ChinaMao Ning · Foreign Ministry Spokesperson, China · 12 Oct

    “The Taiwan question is a major issue of principle bearing on China’s sovereignty and national reunification. It is at the core of China’s core interests.”

    Red line · critical toward Taiwan, Paraguay, Belize transcript ↗

  • ChinaMao Ning · Foreign Ministry Spokesperson, China · 12 Oct

    “China has exclusive economic zone and continental shelf in waters east of the Taiwan island. It is fully within China’s sovereign rights and jurisdiction, therefore legitimate, lawful and beyond reproach, for China to carry out activities in these waters.”

    Denial · critical toward United States, Taiwan transcript ↗

  • ChinaMao Ning · Foreign Ministry Spokesperson, China · 12 Oct

    “Betting on “Taiwan independence” has no future. It will only cost them opportunities for development and lead to international isolation.”

    Warning · critical toward Taiwan, Paraguay, Belize transcript ↗

  • ChinaMao Ning · Foreign Ministry Spokesperson, China · 12 Oct

    “Certain politicians in Paraguay and Belize willingly serve as chess pieces for the DPP authorities in their pursuit of independence by soliciting external support. Their visits to Taiwan and reception of “Taiwan independence” separatist forces in their countries constitute severe interference in China’s internal affairs.”

    Accusation · hostile toward Paraguay, Belize, Taiwan transcript ↗

  • ChinaMao Ning · Foreign Ministry Spokesperson, China · 12 Oct

    “Whatever Lai Ching-te says or does, it does not change the fact backed by history and law that Taiwan belongs to China or the doomed failure of “Taiwan independence,” and will by no means stop China’s ultimate reunification.”

    Accusation · hostile toward Taiwan transcript ↗

  • ChinaMao Ning · Foreign Ministry Spokesperson, China · 12 Oct

    “The U.S. needs to abide by the one-China principle and the three China-U.S. joint communiqués, handle the Taiwan question prudently, and take concrete actions to uphold the overall China-U.S. relations and peace and stability in the region.”

    Demand · critical toward United States, Taiwan transcript ↗

  • William Lai · President, Taiwan (Republic of China) · 10 Oct

    “not to provoke, but to deter war... not to abandon dialogue, but to ensure that dialogue can take place on the basis of equality and dignity.”

    Commitment · about China, Taiwan as reported by Taipei Times ↗

  • William Lai · President, Taiwan (Republic of China) · 10 Oct

    “absolute refusal to allow the distortion of World War II history,”

    Accusation · critical toward China as reported by Taipei Times ↗

  • William Lai · President, Taiwan (Republic of China) · 10 Oct

    paraphrase Lai acknowledged continued CCP military pressure and gray zone activities, warned of dangers of authoritarian expansion, and said he hoped the international community still believes powerful countries should not deprive smaller nations of their right to determine their own future.

    Accusation · critical toward China, International order as reported by Taipei Times ↗

  • ChinaDelegate of China · Delegate, China · 8 Oct

    “The United States is obsessed with absolute strategic advantages, invests hundreds of billions of dollars every year in upgrading nuclear forces, promotes the Golden Dome anti-missile system, fully deploys strategic offensive and defensive forces against other nuclear weapons States,”

    Accusation · hostile toward United States, Global strategic stability transcript ↗

  • ChinaGuo Jiakun · Foreign Ministry Spokesperson, China · 6 Oct

    “The Taiwan question is China’s internal affair. Resolving the Taiwan question is a matter for the Chinese ourselves that brooks no external interference. The U.S. side needs to implement the important common understandings reached at the meeting between the two presidents, abide by the one-China principle and the three China-U.S. joint communiqués, and act prudently on the Taiwan question.”

    Red line · critical toward Taiwan, United States transcript ↗

  • ChinaGuo Jiakun · Foreign Ministry Spokesperson, China · 6 Oct

    “We remain firmly opposed to U.S. arms sales to China’s Taiwan region.”

    Accusation · critical toward Taiwan, United States transcript ↗

  • ChinaGuo Jiakun · Foreign Ministry Spokesperson, China · 3 Oct

    “This U.S. group is known for vilifying China out of political motives and has absolutely no credibility to speak of.”

    Accusation · hostile toward United States transcript ↗

  • Mark Rutte · Secretary General, NATO · 30 Sept

    “if something happens in the China would move against Taiwan or somewhere else in the First Island Chain, that will have a huge impact on Europe and the U.S.”

    Warning · critical toward China, Taiwan, United States transcript ↗

  • ChinaGuo Jiakun · Foreign Ministry Spokesperson, China · 29 Sept

    “The incumbent leader of Japan not only refuses to reflect on the history of aggression, but also claims that a contingency in Taiwan will constitute a “survival threatening” situation for Japan. This is a blatant challenge to China’s state sovereignty and against the aspiration demonstrated by the normalization of China-Japan relations and the political commitments Japan made to China.”

    Accusation · hostile toward Japan, Taiwan transcript ↗

  • ChinaGuo Jiakun · Foreign Ministry Spokesperson, China · 29 Sept

    “the pressing priority for Japan is to correct Japanese leader’s erroneous words and deeds on the Taiwan question.”

    Demand · critical toward Japan, Taiwan transcript ↗

  • ChinaGuo Jiakun · Foreign Ministry Spokesperson, China · 29 Sept

    “The four political documents between China and Japan, including the joint statement, laid the political and legal foundation for China-Japan relations, and established the rules for properly settling major issues of principle, including history and Taiwan. There should be no distortion or regression, still less sabotage, regarding these principles.”

    Commitment · about Japan, Taiwan transcript ↗

A statement shows what was said, not that it is true. The whole record →

The numbers

Taiwan Strait ships crossing per day: ▲ +200% since the first reading.

Where it's heading

Linked situations

Daily reports that covered it

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