SituationAll desks
16 active situations
A situation is one story we follow over time. Each has a living file: every Daily section about it, newest first, then the map, the actors and our outlook. Desks are listed separately because their scales differ.
5 active situations · 3 escalating · 4 quiet. Each row shows the last 21 days on one shared axis; the bars are headlines per day on one scale for this desk's rows only.
rising steady easing · coloured chip = most severe Pulse
Escalating (3)
- US-Iran-Houthi confrontation over Hormuz and Red Seaactive risingCritical steadyLast report yesterday · 22 reports to date
- Gaza war and West Bank settler violence diplomatic falloutactive risingCritical steadyLast report yesterday · 12 reports to date
- Sudan civil waractive risingCritical fallingLast report 3 days ago · 8 reports to date
Holding steady (2)
- Russia-Ukraine war and European security architectureactive steadyCritical risingLast report yesterday · 24 reports to date
- US-China strategic competition over Taiwanactive steadySevere steadyLast report 5 days ago · 15 reports to date
Quiet (4) · nothing new for a week or more
Quiet
- FlyDubai hijacking attempt and aviation security falloutquiet steadynot assessed steadyLast report 8 days ago · 2 reports to date
- US sanctions on ICC and Nobel Peace Prize to Navi Pillayquiet steadyCritical steadyLast report 13 days ago · 5 reports to date
- Ethiopia-Eritrea rupture and Tigray offensivequiet steadyCritical fallingLast report 15 days ago · 7 reports to date
- US withdrawal from Iraq after 23-year presencequiet steadyCritical steadyLast report 26 days ago · 3 reports to date
11 active situations · 5 escalating · 1 quiet. Each row shows the last 13 days on one shared axis; the bars are headlines per day on one scale for this desk's rows only.
rising steady easing · coloured chip = most severe Pulse
Escalating (5)
- Gemini 4 Argon frontier push and challengersactive risingSevere risingLast report yesterday · 6 reports to date
- Scraping, licensing and liability for AI training and overviewsactive risingnot assessed steadyLast report yesterday · 5 reports to date
- AI-enabled hacking and agentic cyber offenseactive risingSevere steadyLast report yesterday · 4 reports to date
- AI for scientific discovery and biotech drug developmentactive risingnot assessed steadyLast report yesterday · 3 reports to date
- Rogue AI agents and AI-enabled cybercrimeactive risingSevere risingLast report 4 days ago
Holding steady (6)
- AI safety governance, evaluation and catastrophic-risk regulationactive steadySevere steadyLast report yesterday · 6 reports to date
- Open-weights race: Muse Spark Open, Nemotron, Beam and on-device modelsactive steadySevere steadyLast report yesterday · 6 reports to date
- AI agents: labor disruption, rogue behavior, and pushbackactive steadySevere risingLast report yesterday · 5 reports to date
- Neocloud financing stress and chip challengers to Nvidiaactive steadySevere fallingLast report yesterday · 5 reports to date
- RTX Spark edge rollout and sovereign AI infrastructure pushactive steadySevere steadyLast report yesterday · 4 reports to date
- Frontier AI race and superintelligence governanceactive steadySevere risingLast report yesterday
Quiet (1) · nothing new for a week or more
Quiet
- Character.AI bankruptcy and Disney acqui-hirequiet steadynot assessed steadyLast report 7 days ago · 1 report to date