OHMEGA/MONSTER

SituationLiving fileUS-Iran-Houthi confrontation over Hormuz and Red Seageopolitics

US warned Gulf allies to ready for post-midterm Iran strikes as Hormuz mine claims were denied and Houthis hit Aden airport

As of 29 Oct · daily

Tracked since 28 SeptReports 22 steadyCoverage steady: headlines about this situation per day rising · gradual since 29 Oct (was ◆ steady)
1 Oct: rising, gradual pace2 Oct: rising, gradual pace3 Oct: steady, gradual pace4 Oct: rising, gradual pace5 Oct: rising, gradual pace10 Oct: rising, gradual pace11 Oct: rising, fast pace12 Oct: rising, fast pace13 Oct: rising, gradual pace14 Oct: rising, gradual pace15 Oct: rising, gradual pace16 Oct: rising, gradual pace17 Oct: rising, gradual pace18 Oct: steady, gradual pace19 Oct: steady, gradual pace20 Oct: rising, gradual pace23 Oct: rising, gradual pace24 Oct: steady, flat pace26 Oct: steady, flat pace27 Oct: steady, flat pace28 Oct: steady, flat pace29 Oct: rising, gradual pace
1 Oct22 reports29 Oct
rising steady easing · bigger mark = faster

Hottest Pulse: Iran Proxy Axis · Escalation, 99 of 100 (critical)

Every line: 1 Oct to 28 Oct, on one 0 to 100 scale.

Every day on file

Last report 2 days ago

22 days from the Daily, newest first. The latest 3 are open here with their pictures and numbers; earlier days open in their Daily.

Thu, 29 Oct 2026 · day's report → , gradual pace

US warned Gulf allies to ready for post-midterm Iran strikes as Hormuz mine claims were denied and Houthis hit Aden airport

The United States, Iran and the Iran-backed Houthis are contesting two shipping chokepoints — the Strait of Hormuz between Iran and Oman and the Red Sea route past Yemen. Washington says its strikes aim to degrade Iran's ability to attack commercial shipping and ensure freedom of navigation, while Tehran calls the strait a red line and the Houthis press the fight with missiles and drones toward Saudi airports, Aramco sites and tankers. Disruption at either chokepoint raises global energy and food security risks.

Chokepoint transits held steady as war risks rose
Trackers compared Chokepoint transits held steady as war risks rose. Daily tanker and vessel transits through the Bosporus and Bab el-Mandeb held steady while Hormuz tensions and Red Sea strikes escalated.aa.com.tr ↗middleeasteye.net ↗straitstimes.com ↗al-monitor.com ↗middleeasteye.net ↗aljazeera.com ↗IMF PortWatch ↗as of 2026-10-29
Numbers match the timeline. Solid mark: researched; hollow: reported. Dashed purple areas: disputed or occupied territory; select one for its status and source. Infrastructure, lettered by type (A airbase, P power plant, F fuel depot, H port, M military base, R refinery); colour is the latest status on record: claimed struck (a party's claim only), damage reported, damage confirmed or destroyed, restored, nothing on record. A claim is a party's word, not a confirmation; marks fade as a status ages. Power plants: WRI Global Power Plant Database (CC BY 4.0).
Base map: Natural Earth (public domain). Locations: Ohmega, from today's developments; approximate. Disputed areas: Natural Earth (public domain). Shipping data: IMF PortWatch. Interactive basemap: OpenFreeMap, © OpenMapTiles, data © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Grid impact · Ohmega analysis last report 16 days ago

0% claimed struck · 0 MWa party's own word
0% damage reported · 0 MWowner, authorities or media
0% confirmed damaged · 0 MWoperator, authority or imagery
0% restored · 0 MW

Last 30 days, of 84 GW installed (nameplate) capacity the ledger knows. A plant can appear under more than one figure (claimed, then reported, then confirmed), so the figures overlap and are not added; the bars count each plant once, at the firmest thing said about it.

  • Confirmed damaged or destroyed
  • Damage reported
  • Claimed struck
  • Restored
1 plants named
  • 10-14Aramco Headquarters Dhahran · capacity unknown other · Claimed struck · said by Houthi spokesman Yahya Saree, Saudi Energy Ministry, sources told Reuters

Ohmega analysis from the asset ledger and WRI/OpenStreetMap capacity. Capacity is nameplate, not output; a status is not an outage duration; plant coverage is incomplete.

  1. 28 Oct
  3. 3
Assessment and what changed · the full read, since yesterday

US warnings to Gulf allies of a short, intense post-midterm campaign against Iran and Trump's 28 Oct 'couple of weeks' signal have sharpened timing expectations, while force movements continue. At sea, US Central Command on 28 Oct called Hormuz mine-hit claims false and said primary routes are cleared, but its maritime center still told ships to avoid unnecessary Hormuz transits. Houthi missile strikes shifted to Aden airport on 28 Oct, and Iran pressed a seven-day Hormuz reopening plan via Qatari mediators.

  • Escalated: US warning to Gulf allies of post-midterm Iran campaign and Trump's 'couple of weeks' timeline…
  • New: CENTCOM 28 Oct denial that Hormuz mine hits occurred and NAVCENT/JMIC advisory to avoid unnecessary Hormuz transits
  • New: Houthi ballistic missile attack on Aden airport 28 Oct with air traffic halted
  • New: Iran 28-29 Oct push on seven-day Hormuz reopening plan via Qatari mediators and Trump denial of Vance peace talks…
More developments (2)
  1. 29 Oct4
  2. 5
Strike & status log (9) · named places, who says what, this week

Named places and things the reports say something dated about. Each line gives who says it: “claimed struck” is a party's own word, and only a second source turns it into reported or confirmed damage.

Numbers and actors · 1 unusual now

Who they are · size

People

Balance sheet · debt, budget, current account, reserves

: latest year on record for each figure (IMF figures for this year are estimates), bars on one scale per column, line = the last ten years. Tap an actor for every year, rank, energy, ranked trade and sources. All actors →

· 1 unusual now

1 more reading
Outlook, watch list and background

Outlook A short, intense US strike on Iran shortly after the 3 Nov midterms is now more likely than not given allied warnings, Trump's 'couple of weeks' timeline and reported force movements, but diplomacy via the Qatari-mediated seven-day Hormuz plan remains possible. Hormuz shipping is likely to stay constrained by advisories and blockade enforcement even if primary routes are cleared, and Houthi airport attacks are likely to continue. Iranian retaliation against US bases or Gulf energy infrastructure if strikes proceed is likely.

Watch for
  • UKMTO/JMIC confirmation of Hormuz mine clearance and any new mine or tanker incident, especially on southern route
  • IMF PortWatch and Kpler updates for Hormuz flows vs ~20m barrels/day pre-war and Bab el-Mandeb tanker transits
  • Saudi GACA NOTAM on Riyadh, Dammam and Aden airports and any new Houthi claim of airport or Aramco strike
  • Formal US or Iranian statement on strike timing and any US order joining Saudi strikes on Sanaa, Hodeida or Houthi missile sites
Background
  • 28 Feb 2026US-Israel war on Iran began 28 Feb 2026 as Operation Epic Fury (US) / Operation Roaring Lion (Israel); Iran response Operation True Promise IV. Trump on 23 Oct said 'We may do another little Epic Fury.' Defines the war whose next phase Trump now signals and frames Iranian and Houthi retaliation risks france24.com ↗
  • 1 Mar 2014Yemen civil war began 2014 Houthi takeover of Sanaa, Saudi-led intervention March 2015, informal ceasefire April 2022 unravelled July-Sept 2026 when Houthis announced maritime embargo and began missile/drone attacks on Saudi airports, oil facilities and Red Sea tankers. Explains Houthi capacity and pattern behind current airport and shipping attacks al-monitor.com ↗
  • 1 Jan 2024Strait of Hormuz carried about one-fifth of global oil trade and about 20% of global LNG trade in 2024, primarily Qatari LNG, 83% to Asian markets. Shows why Hormuz mine claims, clearance and transit advisories move global energy security eia.gov ↗

Wed, 28 Oct 2026 · day's report → , flat pace

Riyadh airport reopens under missile fire as Taiz aid route cut and Hormuz mine claims linger

Air, land and sea routes under pressure around Arabian Peninsula
Map story Air, land and sea routes under pressure around Arabian Peninsula. Riyadh airport flights resumed under missile threat as the main road into Taiz was cut and tankers were claimed hit in the Strait of Hormuz.hrw.org ↗news.un.org ↗middleeasteye.net ↗aljazeera.com ↗dawn.com ↗thehindu.com ↗as of 2026-10-28
Numbers match the timeline. Solid mark: researched; hollow: reported. Dashed purple areas: disputed or occupied territory; select one for its status and source. Infrastructure, lettered by type (A airbase, P power plant, F fuel depot, H port, M military base, R refinery); colour is the latest status on record: claimed struck (a party's claim only), damage reported, damage confirmed or destroyed, restored, nothing on record. A claim is a party's word, not a confirmation; marks fade as a status ages. Power plants: WRI Global Power Plant Database (CC BY 4.0).
Base map: Natural Earth (public domain). Locations: Ohmega, from today's developments; approximate. Disputed areas: Natural Earth (public domain). Shipping data: IMF PortWatch. Interactive basemap: OpenFreeMap, © OpenMapTiles, data © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Grid impact · Ohmega analysis last report 16 days ago

0% claimed struck · 0 MWa party's own word
0% damage reported · 0 MWowner, authorities or media
0% confirmed damaged · 0 MWoperator, authority or imagery
0% restored · 0 MW

Last 30 days, of 84 GW installed (nameplate) capacity the ledger knows. A plant can appear under more than one figure (claimed, then reported, then confirmed), so the figures overlap and are not added; the bars count each plant once, at the firmest thing said about it.

  • Confirmed damaged or destroyed
  • Damage reported
  • Claimed struck
  • Restored
1 plants named
  • 10-14Aramco Headquarters Dhahran · capacity unknown other · Claimed struck · said by Houthi spokesman Yahya Saree, Saudi Energy Ministry, sources told Reuters

Ohmega analysis from the asset ledger and WRI/OpenStreetMap capacity. Capacity is nameplate, not output; a status is not an outage duration; plant coverage is incomplete.

  1. 25 Oct1
  2. 22 Oct3
  3. 18 Oct2
Assessment and what changed · the full read, since yesterday

Riyadh's main airport resumed limited flights on 25 Oct after a two-week Houthi-enforced closure, but a claimed Houthi missile attack the same day and a coalition intercept on 26 Oct show the air threat persists. No new Hormuz mine or tanker hit was verified by UKMTO/JMIC since 26 Oct and no new formal US or Iranian statement on strike timing appeared, leaving the picture steady but fragile. The Taiz road bombing has deepened a humanitarian chokehold with aid still blocked for more than 600,000 people.

  • New: Riyadh airport limited reopening 25 Oct followed by claimed Houthi missile attack and coalition intercept 26 Oct…

1 unchanged: No new Hormuz mine or tanker hit verified by UKMTO/JMIC and no new formal US or Iranian statement on strike timing since 26 Oct; oil repricing lower on 27 Oct still stands.

Strike & status log (14) · named places, who says what, this week

Named places and things the reports say something dated about. Each line gives who says it: “claimed struck” is a party's own word, and only a second source turns it into reported or confirmed damage.

Numbers and actors · statistics, flows and rates

Who they are · size

People

Balance sheet · debt, budget, current account, reserves

: latest year on record for each figure (IMF figures for this year are estimates), bars on one scale per column, line = the last ten years. Tap an actor for every year, rank, energy, ranked trade and sources. All actors →

1 more reading
Outlook, watch list and background

Outlook Steady pressure is likely to persist in the near term, with Houthi missile and drone attempts on Saudi airports and Red Sea shipping almost certain to continue and Hormuz mine risk keeping war-risk premiums elevated. A larger US-Israel strike on Iran around the 3 Nov midterms remains possible but is unlikely to be telegraphed in advance; Iranian warnings of retaliation against bases and energy infrastructure make any strike likely to widen disruption. Market hedging via non-Hormuz LNG and pipeline shifts will likely continue even if flows stabilize.

Watch for
  • UKMTO/JMIC confirmation or denial of mine clearance and any new Hormuz mine or tanker incident, especially southern route
  • IMF PortWatch and Kpler updates showing Hormuz flows vs ~20 million barrels/day pre-war and Bab el-Mandeb tanker transits
  • Saudi GACA NOTAM on Riyadh and Dammam airports and any new Houthi claim of airport or Aramco/pipeline strike
  • Formal US or Iranian statement on strike timing around 3 Nov midterms and any US order joining Saudi strikes on Sanaa, Hodeida or Houthi missile sites
Background
  • 2026-02-28 to 2026-10-24The US-Israel war on Iran began 28 February 2026 as Operation Epic Fury (US) / Roaring Lion (Israel); Iran's response was Operation True Promise IV. On 23-24 Oct President Trump said the US may do 'another little Epic Fury' and could strike Iran as soon as 'tomorrow' or reach a deal. Frames current US threats of renewed strikes and Iranian warnings of retaliation against bases and Gulf energy infrastructure. france24.com ↗
  • 22 Oct 2026On 22 Oct QatarEnergy signed two long-term deals with Cheniere Energy for up to 4 million tons per year of US LNG through 2054, priced against Henry Hub, deliveries 2031-2054 from Sabine Pass and Corpus Christi. Shows Gulf LNG hedging beyond Hormuz as strait risk reprices energy markets. al-monitor.com ↗
  • 21 Oct 2026On 21 Oct the UK announced RAF Typhoon defensive counter-air missions to protect Saudi cities and infrastructure, plus an A400M and advisers, with no offensive strikes in Yemen; on 25-26 Oct Greece agreed to keep its Patriot battery in Yanbu. Explains defensive layer now over Riyadh and Yanbu as Houthi missile/drone attacks continue. dw.com ↗

Tue, 27 Oct 2026 · day's report → , flat pace

No new Hormuz or Saudi-Houthi escalation confirmed as Brent oil price eased sharply

  1. 27 Oct
Assessment and what changed · the full read, since yesterday

Nothing new was confirmed since 2026-10-26 to change the picture: no new Hormuz mine or tanker hit verified by UKMTO/JMIC and no new formal U.S. or Iranian statement on strike timing. The only move was oil repricing lower, with Brent falling about 5% on 27 Oct to $109.62, while the Houthi-Saudi missile exchange and claimed mine-free Hormuz routes remain as described yesterday.

  • Eased: Brent crude eased sharply on 27 Oct (-5% day-on-day to $109.62), the only reading newly outside its range…

1 unchanged: No new Hormuz mine or tanker strike confirmed and no new formal U.S. or Iranian statement on strike timing since the 2026-10-26 section; Saudi-Houthi exchange and claimed mine-free Hormuz routes stand as yesterday.

Numbers and actors · statistics, flows and rates

Who they are · size

People

Balance sheet · debt, budget, current account, reserves

: latest year on record for each figure (IMF figures for this year are estimates), bars on one scale per column, line = the last ten years. Tap an actor for every year, rank, energy, ranked trade and sources. All actors →

1 more reading
Outlook, watch list and background

Outlook No new Hormuz mine or tanker incident is likely to be confirmed without UKMTO/JMIC or CENTCOM evidence, but the risk of another Houthi missile toward Riyadh or Yanbu remains high given the pattern of daily intercepts. Brent is likely to stay volatile around $109-115 until Hormuz flows recover toward the pre-war ~20 million barrels/day or a verified mine-clearance is issued. A formal U.S. statement on timing of any Iran strike around the 3 Nov midterms would almost certainly move both shipping and oil pricing quickly.

Watch for
  • UKMTO/JMIC confirmation or denial of mine clearance and any new Hormuz mine or tanker incident, especially southern route
  • IMF PortWatch and Kpler updates showing Hormuz flows vs ~20 million barrels/day pre-war and Bab el-Mandeb tanker transits
  • Saudi GACA NOTAM on Riyadh and Dammam airports and any new Houthi claim of airport or Aramco/pipeline strike
  • Formal U.S. or Iranian statement on strike timing around 3 Nov midterms and any U.S. order joining Saudi strikes on Sanaa, Hodeida or Houthi missile sites
Background
  • 2014-2026-07Yemen's civil war began when Houthis ousted the government from Sanaa in 2014, escalated with Saudi-led intervention in 2015, and an informal ceasefire from 2022 unravelled in July 2026 when Houthis announced a maritime embargo on Saudi Arabia and began missile/drone attacks on Saudi airports, oil facilities and Red Sea tankers. Explains why Houthi strikes on Saudi airports, Aramco sites and Red Sea shipping are now part of the Hormuz/Red Sea contest. thehindu.com ↗
  • 28 Feb 2026The U.S.-Israel war on Iran began 28 February 2026, codenamed Operation Epic Fury by the U.S. and Operation Roaring Lion by Israel; Iran's response was Operation True Promise IV. The current Hormuz mine/tanker incidents and U.S. threats of 'another little Epic Fury' refer back to this war. france24.com ↗
  • 10 Oct 2026A Houthi missile strike on King Khalid International Airport on 10 October 2026 killed 13 and injured 308, the deadliest attack in Saudi Arabia in more than a decade; at least 21-22 have been killed in Houthi airport attacks since early October. Sets the scale for the current Houthi campaign against Riyadh and other Saudi airports that triggered U.S. evacuation orders and UK defensive deployments. dawn.com ↗

Earlier days (19)

Numbers match the timeline. Solid mark: researched; hollow: reported. Dashed purple areas: disputed or occupied territory; select one for its status and source.
Base map: Natural Earth (public domain). Locations: Ohmega, from today's developments; approximate. Disputed areas: Natural Earth (public domain). Shipping data: IMF PortWatch. Interactive basemap: OpenFreeMap, © OpenMapTiles, data © OpenStreetMap contributors.

· Most reported: Strait of Hormuz ×16, Riyadh ×9, Sanaa ×7

Background in 60 seconds

written 25 Oct

The United States, Iran and the Iran-backed Houthis are contesting two shipping chokepoints — the Strait of Hormuz between Iran and Oman and the Red Sea route past Yemen. Washington says its strikes aim to degrade Iran's ability to attack commercial shipping and ensure freedom of navigation. Tehran calls the strait a red line and says reopening depends on compliance with its regulations. The Houthis have pressed the fight with missiles and drones toward Saudi airports, Aramco sites and tankers.

Who is doing what to whom

15 actors in play; no relations recorded yet.

  • Houthis 22 mentions
  • Saudi-led coalition 22 mentions
  • Saudi Arabia 11 mentions
  • IRGC Navy 10 mentions
  • Iran 10 mentions

Saudi Arabia, Yemen, Iran, United States and Egypt, by the numbers

Saudi Arabia Saudi ArabiaYemen YemenIran IranUnited States United StatesEgypt Egypt

Population

Saudi Arabia37M

Yemen41.8M

Iran92.4M

United States342M

Egypt118M

GDP

Saudi Arabia$1.3T

Yemen$21.6B

Iran$363B

United States$30.8T

Egypt$365B

GDP per person

Saudi Arabia$34.5k

Yemen$634

Iran$3.9k

United States$90k

Egypt$3.1k

Fossil fuel output

Saudi Arabia7.1k TWh

Yemen26 TWh

Iran5.4k TWh

United States23.3k TWh

Egypt837 TWh

Military spending

Saudi Arabia$80.3B

Yemen$1.7B

Iran$7.9B

United States$997B

Egypt$2.4B

Every bar in a row is on that row's one scale. Latest year available for each figure; sources on each actor's page.

8 states involved

Open one to see everything else it is part of.

Saudi Arabia Saudi ArabiaYemen YemenIran IranUnited States United StatesEgypt EgyptGermany GermanyIsrael IsraelQatar Qatar

Attacks reported

attack log →

≥ 7,188 events in or near its main states, last 30 days reported by the sources; the strongest are listed. No source sees every attack.

  • 2026-10-30 · Armed clash · Makkah, Makkah, Saudi Arabia · GDELT ↗ · machine-coded
  • 2026-10-30 · Armed clash · Los Angeles, California, United States · GDELT ↗ · machine-coded
  • 2026-10-30 · Assault or killing · Bad Oldesloe, Schleswig-Holstein, Germany · GDELT ↗ · machine-coded
  • 2026-10-30 · Armed clash · Schleswig, Schleswig-Holstein, Germany · GDELT ↗ · machine-coded

GPS interference

all zones →

≥ 4 zones over its main states on 2026-10-30: aircraft there reported poor navigation accuracy, a sign of jamming or spoofing, not proof of who is responsible.

  • Medium · 13% of 45 aircraft observations degraded · 48.5, 10.5
  • Low · 7% of 44 aircraft observations degraded · 48.5, 8.5
  • Low · 6% of 78 aircraft observations degraded · 49.5, 9.5
  • Low · 6% of 72 aircraft observations degraded · 48.5, 9.5

On the record (113)

113 statements, newest first

  • United StatesDonald Trump · President of the United States · 25 Oct

    paraphrase Trump endorsed Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu and warned that without the Israeli partner he trusts, America might have to confront Iran alone.

    Warning · constructive toward Israel, Iran, United States as reported by Jerusalem Post ↗

  • Foreign Ministers of Türkiye, Egypt, Pakistan, Saudi Arabia, France, Germany, Italy and the United Kingdom (joint) · Foreign Ministers, Türkiye, Egypt, Pakistan, Saudi Arabia, France, Germany, Italy, United Kingdom (joint) · 23 Oct

    “the appalling Houthi militia attacks against the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia and the Government of Yemen”

    Accusation · hostile toward Houthis, Saudi Arabia, Yemen transcript ↗

  • United StatesDonald Trump · President, United States · 23 Oct

    paraphrase Warned that Washington could launch another major operation against Iran.

    Threat · hostile toward Iran as reported by Africanews ↗

  • GermanyJohann Wadephul · Foreign Minister, Germany · 23 Oct

    “Together, we want to send a signal: we will not accept Iran and the Houthi militias [in Yemen] holding global trade hostage,”

    Warning · critical toward Iran, Yemen, Houthis as reported by Deutsche Welle ↗

  • GermanyJohann Wadephul · Foreign Minister, Germany · 23 Oct

    “The indiscriminatory attacks on free shipping and on neighboring countries must stop. For people across the region who are suffering from hunger, who no longer feel safe in their own homes, the continuing insecurity is not acceptable.”

    Demand · critical toward Iran, Yemen, Houthis as reported by Deutsche Welle ↗

  • GermanyJohann Wadephul · Foreign Minister, Germany · 23 Oct

    paraphrase Continuing disruptions to shipping in the Strait of Hormuz and the Red Sea could potentially lead to famine in the global south.

    Warning · critical toward Iran, Yemen, Houthis as reported by Deutsche Welle ↗

  • YemenYemen's representative · Representative, Yemen · 22 Oct

    “The illicit flow of conventional weapons into Houthi militias is therefore not merely a domestic concern for Yemen, but a direct threat to regional and international security”

    Accusation · hostile toward Iran, Yemen, Houthis transcript ↗

  • Stéphane Dujarric · Spokesperson for the Secretary-General, United Nations · 21 Oct

    “violating their sovereignty, which we’ve condemned”

    Accusation · critical toward Houthis, Saudi Arabia, Yemen transcript ↗

  • IranAbbas Araqchi · Foreign Minister, Iran · 20 Oct

    paraphrase Iran offered to help facilitate dialogue to end the fighting between Saudi Arabia and the Houthis as the Houthis intensified strikes on Saudi Arabia earlier this month

    Offer · constructive toward Saudi Arabia, Houthis as reported by Al-Monitor ↗

  • Stéphane Dujarric · Spokesman for the Secretary-General, United Nations · 20 Oct

    “We join our Resident Coordinator and Humanitarian Coordinator for Yemen, Laurent Bukera, in calling on the Houthi de facto authorities to urgently ensure safe passage for commercial goods, for food, for medicine and all humanitarian assistance, so we can reach the besieged city of Taiz”

    Demand · critical toward Yemen, Houthis transcript ↗

  • Stéphane Dujarric · Spokesman for the Secretary-General, United Nations · 19 Oct

    paraphrase The UN remains deeply concerned about continued military escalation, is alarmed by continued Houthi attacks against Saudi Arabia including those impacting civilian and energy infrastructure and intense hostilities across multiple front lines particularly in Taiz City, calls on all parties to exercise restraint, uphold IHL and refrain from directing attacks against civilians, and urges engagement with Special Envoy Hans Grundberg toward a negotiated political settlement.

    Accusation · critical toward Yemen, Saudi Arabia, Houthis transcript ↗

  • IranSeyed Abbas Araghchi · Foreign Minister, Iran · 18 Oct

    paraphrase Iran is ready to facilitate dialogue and engagement between Saudi Arabia and Yemen amid developments in the Arabian Peninsula and escalation of conflicts.

    Offer · conciliatory toward Saudi Arabia, Yemen transcript ↗

  • IsraelIsrael · official, Israel · 18 Oct

    paraphrase Any Iranian surprise offensive will trigger an exceptionally severe military response; Israel's objectives regarding Iran's nuclear project, missile array and defense industry infrastructure are not yet complete, and should Iran initiate an attack Israel may act with greater force than during Operation Lion's Roar, including strikes on national infrastructure previously limited by Washington to shorten conflict duration

    Threat · hostile toward Iran, United States, Gulf states as reported by Jerusalem Post ↗

  • IranSeyed Abbas Araghchi · Foreign Minister, Iran · 18 Oct

    “We will never bow to threats. We are more prepared than ever to defend ourselves.”

    Red line · critical toward United States, Israel transcript ↗

  • IranAbbas Araghchi · Foreign Minister, Iran · 18 Oct

    “Last time you wanted to "finish the job", Iran emerged even stronger. Want to try your luck again? Be our guest. But be careful; we have unfinished jobs too,”

    Threat · hostile toward Iran, Israel, United States as reported by Middle East Eye ↗

  • United StatesDonald Trump · US President, United States · 18 Oct

    paraphrase Russia is currently doing little to help Iran compared to what it could do, and he wants to keep it that way unless others interfere.

    Reassurance · constructive toward Russia, Iran as reported by France 24 ↗

  • IranAbbas Araghchi · Minister of Foreign Affairs, Iran · 18 Oct

    paraphrase Iran is ready to provide any assistance that could help facilitate dialogue between the parties to the Yemen conflict

    Offer · constructive toward Yemen transcript ↗

  • IsraelDanny Citrinowicz · former head of the Iran branch for Israeli defense intelligence · 17 Oct

    “very, very strong on the operational level”

    Accusation · critical toward Iran, Houthis as reported by Jerusalem Post ↗

  • Soufan Center · security think tank, Soufan Center · 17 Oct

    “helping Iran project power”

    Remark · critical toward Iran, Houthis, Saudi Arabia as reported by Jerusalem Post ↗

  • Adam Baron · Yemen expert and fellow, New America · 17 Oct

    “The support the Houthis received from Iran and other Axis actors undeniably paved the way for the rapid-fire gains they’ve made over the past few months,”

    Accusation · critical toward Houthis, Iran as reported by Jerusalem Post ↗

  • IranEsmail Baghaei · Spokesperson for the Ministry of Foreign Affairs, Iran · 17 Oct

    paraphrase Resolving the Yemen issue requires respect for Yemen's national sovereignty and territorial integrity, an end to any interference in its internal affairs, and most importantly the lifting of the air and sea blockade.

    Demand · constructive toward Yemen transcript ↗

  • Saudi ArabiaSaudi Arabia's cabinet · Cabinet chaired by Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman, Saudi Arabia · 16 Oct

    paraphrase The kingdom would not allow its security or freedom of navigation in the Red Sea and the Bab al-Mandab Strait to be threatened.

    Red line · critical toward Yemen, Red Sea as reported by Kurdistan24 ↗

  • Mohammed al-Bukhaiti · Member of political bureau, Houthis · 16 Oct

    paraphrase The movement would target American interests across the region if the US became involved, and its campaign against Saudi targets was meant to tell the Saudi crown prince he could no longer conduct military operations against Yemen from a position of safety.

    Threat · hostile toward United States, Saudi Arabia as reported by Kurdistan24 ↗

  • Saudi ArabiaTurki al-Maliki · Coalition spokesman, Saudi Arabia · 16 Oct

    paraphrase The oil facilities struck in Sanaa, Dhamar and Saada were involved in supplying the Houthis' war effort and enabling attacks that threatened Saudi Arabia, Yemen, the southern Red Sea and regional waterways.

    Accusation · critical toward Yemen, Saudi Arabia, Red Sea as reported by Kurdistan24 ↗

  • IranEsmail Baghaei · Foreign Ministry Spokesperson, Iran · 16 Oct

    “The chaos engulfing our region is the consequence of unlawful interventions, including those backed or contributed to by the UK.”

    Accusation · hostile toward UK transcript ↗

  • United StatesDonald Trump · President of the United States · 16 Oct

    paraphrase Trump repeated his vow that Iran would never get a nuclear weapon.

    Commitment · critical toward Iran as reported by Jerusalem Post ↗

  • Saudi ArabiaTurki Al-Maliki · spokesperson, Saudi-led coalition · 16 Oct

    paraphrase coalition forces had intercepted and destroyed three drones in Saudi Arabia's southern region and the Riyadh region and a fourth launched toward the Eastern Province, and had also intercepted two cruise missiles over the Red Sea and a ballistic missile launched toward Yanbu

    Policy · critical toward Houthis as reported by CGTN ↗

  • IranEsmaeil Baghaei · Foreign Ministry spokesperson, Iran · 16 Oct

    “if requested by both sides”

    Offer · constructive toward Saudi Arabia, Houthis as reported by CGTN ↗

  • UN Security Council · UN Security Council, United Nations · 15 Oct

    “the reckless strikes”

    Accusation · hostile toward Houthis, Saudi Arabia transcript ↗

  • UN Security Council · UN Security Council, United Nations · 15 Oct

    paraphrase The Council stressed the importance of fully implementing resolution 2216 (2015) and subsequent resolutions and called for cooperation, including with the Government of Yemen, to prevent the Houthis from acquiring arms, related materiel, technical assistance, training, financing and other assistance that could facilitate further attacks, reiterating that all Member States must adhere to the targeted arms embargo.

    Demand · hostile toward Houthis, Yemen transcript ↗

  • UN Security Council · UN Security Council, United Nations · 15 Oct

    paraphrase The Council reiterated its condemnation in the strongest terms of continued Houthi attacks and threats against commercial shipping in the Red Sea and Bab al-Mandab and stressed the importance of safeguarding commercial vessels and their crews.

    Accusation · hostile toward Houthis, Red Sea, Bab al-Mandab transcript ↗

  • Saudi ArabiaSaudi-led coalition · Saudi-led coalition · 15 Oct

    paraphrase Houthi attacks on King Khalid International Airport in Riyadh had killed 17 people and injured more than 330 others since October 1, with the airport coming under 20 attacks during the two-week period

    Accusation · hostile toward Houthis as reported by CGTN ↗

  • UN Security Council · UN Security Council, United Nations · 15 Oct

    paraphrase The Security Council strongly condemned continued and escalatory Houthi attacks against Saudi Arabia, including attacks impacting civilian aviation and energy infrastructure that resulted in civilian deaths and injuries.

    Accusation · hostile toward Houthis, Saudi Arabia transcript ↗

  • UN Security Council · UN Security Council, United Nations · 15 Oct

    paraphrase The Council demanded that the Houthis immediately cease their military escalation and their attacks impacting civilians and civilian objects, recalling its press statements of 7 August and 18 September condemning Houthi military escalation in Yemen.

    Demand · hostile toward Houthis transcript ↗

  • United StatesDonald Trump · President, United States · 14 Oct

    paraphrase Issued a threat to Iran during a campaign rally in Alaska on Tuesday night.

    Threat · hostile toward Iran as reported by Middle East Eye ↗

  • United StatesDonald Trump · President, United States · 14 Oct

    paraphrase Accused Yemen's Houthis of deliberately trying to drive up oil prices, probably ahead of the US elections.

    Accusation · hostile toward Yemen, Houthis as reported by Middle East Eye ↗

  • Farhan Haq · Deputy Spokesman for the Secretary-General, United Nations · 14 Oct

    paraphrase The UN welcomes the release of UN staff member Sami al-Kalabi, detained by the Houthis since 2024, calls it a positive step, and hopes he receives urgently needed specialized medical care.

    Reassurance · constructive toward Houthis, Yemen transcript ↗

  • Farhan Haq · Deputy Spokesman for the Secretary-General, United Nations · 14 Oct

    “immediately and unconditionally release all remaining detained personnel from the United Nations, international and national non-governmental organizations (NGOs), civil society and diplomatic missions”

    Demand · critical toward Houthis, Yemen transcript ↗

  • YemenRepresentative of Yemen · Representative, Yemen · 13 Oct

    “The endless flow of sophisticated Iranian weapons falling to hands of Houthi terrorist groups, specifically ballistic missiles, drones and marine objects not only have prolonged the conflictm but have also contributed to the spillover into neighbouring States and neighbouring maritime pathways,”

    Accusation · hostile toward Iran, Yemen, Houthis transcript ↗

  • United StatesDonald Trump · U.S. President, United States · 13 Oct

    “They're behaving very badly,”

    Accusation · hostile toward Houthis, Iran as reported by Daily Sabah ↗

  • United KingdomAndy Burnham · Prime Minister, United Kingdom · 12 Oct

    “We will not tolerate these threats on our soil”

    Threat · hostile toward Iran, IRGC transcript ↗

  • IranSeyed Abbas Araghchi · Foreign Minister, Iran · 12 Oct

    “the Islamic Republic of Iran is ready to provide any assistance to help initiate dialogue between Saudi Arabia and Yemen and facilitate the achievement of a political solution”

    Offer · constructive toward Saudi Arabia, Yemen transcript ↗

  • United KingdomUnited Kingdom · Foreign Minister, United Kingdom · 12 Oct

    “the IRGC's continued willingness to project hostile activity beyond its borders through covert networks and proxy actors”

    Accusation · hostile toward Iran, IRGC transcript ↗

  • United KingdomUK Foreign Office (FCDO) · United Kingdom · 12 Oct

    paraphrase The UK has identified at least 15 credible Iranian-backed threats to kill or kidnap individuals in the UK between 2022 and 2023, rising to more than 20 in 2025, and has sanctioned the IRGC in its entirety and more than 550 Iranian individuals and entities as part of comprehensive counter-measures.

    Accusation · hostile toward Iran, United Kingdom transcript ↗

  • YemenRepresentative of Yemen · Representative of Yemen · 12 Oct

    paraphrase Condemned the killing and recruitment of children by Houthi terrorist militias and demanded their release, rehabilitation and reintegration

    Accusation · hostile toward Yemen, Houthis transcript ↗

  • IranSeyed Abbas Araghchi · Foreign Minister, Iran · 12 Oct

    “the ongoing crises in the region have no military solution”

    Policy · about Saudi Arabia, Yemen transcript ↗

  • United KingdomAndy Burnham · Prime Minister, United Kingdom · 12 Oct

    “highly likely to have been coordinated in Iran, almost certainly directed by Iran’s Islamic Revolutionary Guard”

    Accusation · hostile toward Iran, IRGC, United States transcript ↗

  • United KingdomAndy Burnham · Prime Minister, United Kingdom · 12 Oct

    “We will continue to stand with Saudi Arabia against the Houthis”

    Commitment · conciliatory toward Saudi Arabia, Houthis transcript ↗

  • United KingdomEd Miliband · Foreign Secretary, United Kingdom · 12 Oct

    “Iran’s continued attempts to undermine the security of the United Kingdom and international partners through its criminal networks, proxy groups and state-backed malign activity is unacceptable.”

    Accusation · hostile toward Iran, United Kingdom transcript ↗

  • United KingdomEd Miliband · Foreign Secretary, United Kingdom · 12 Oct

    “We are also announcing the designation of two Iranian nationals for their role in facilitating or engaging in hostile activity on behalf of the Iranian regime, with the clear intent of threatening, planning or conducting attacks overseas.”

    Policy · hostile toward Iran transcript ↗

  • Spokesperson for the Houthis · Spokesperson, Houthis · 12 Oct

    paraphrase The Houthis reiterated their intention to continue attacking Saudi airports and doubled down on the recent airport attacks.

    Threat · hostile toward Saudi Arabia as reported by The Independent ↗

  • Houthi spokesperson · spokesperson, Houthis · 12 Oct

    paraphrase The group intends to continue targeting Saudi airports, including King Khalid International Airport.

    Threat · hostile toward Saudi Arabia as reported by www.daily-sun.com ↗

  • Houthis · Houthis · 12 Oct

    paraphrase The Houthis accused Saudi Arabia of firing on Sanaa airport as a plane from Iran was trying to land, citing this as reason for resuming attacks.

    Accusation · hostile toward Saudi Arabia as reported by The Independent ↗

  • IranAbbas Araghchi · Foreign Minister, Iran · 12 Oct

    paraphrase He warned against insisting on a military approach and ignoring the political situation and said Tehran would help start a dialogue between the Saudis and the Houthis.

    Offer · constructive toward Saudi Arabia, Houthis as reported by The Independent ↗

  • IranAbbas Araghchi · Foreign Minister, Iran · 12 Oct

    paraphrase He warned against relying on military action while ignoring the political dimensions of the conflict and said Tehran is prepared to help facilitate dialogue between Saudi Arabia and the Houthis.

    Offer · constructive toward Saudi Arabia, Houthis as reported by www.daily-sun.com ↗

  • Saudi ArabiaPrince Abdulaziz bin Salman · Energy Minister, Saudi Arabia · 12 Oct

    “equally serious”

    Warning · hostile toward Houthis as reported by The Independent ↗

  • United StatesDonald Trump · President, United States · 12 Oct

    paraphrase He is considering joining Saudi strikes on the Houthis.

    Commitment · critical toward Houthis, Saudi Arabia as reported by The Independent ↗

  • United StatesDonald Trump · President, United States · 11 Oct

    paraphrase President Trump said Washington may join Saudi strikes against the Houthis in Yemen following the attack on the airport in Riyadh.

    Commitment · hostile toward Yemen, Houthis, Saudi Arabia as reported by Anadolu Agency ↗

  • Turki al-Maliki · Coalition spokesman, Saudi-led coalition · 11 Oct

    “firmly”

    Threat · hostile toward Yemen, Houthis as reported by Anadolu Agency ↗

  • Turki al-Maliki · Coalition spokesman, Saudi-led coalition · 11 Oct

    paraphrase Coalition spokesman Turki al-Maliki blamed Yemen's Houthis for the attack on King Khalid International Airport that killed 12 and injured 309, saying it targeted a passenger terminal.

    Accusation · hostile toward Yemen, Houthis as reported by Anadolu Agency ↗

A statement shows what was said, not that it is true. The whole record →

The numbers

Oil flows through Strait of Hormuz: ▲ +334% since the first reading.

Where it's heading

Linked situations

Daily reports that covered it

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